I propose that there are four basic categories that all theoretical knowledge* eventually ends up in:
1) Wrong: These facts are shown to be straightforwardly incorrect.
2) Forgotten: We used to “know” these facts to be true, now we don’t remember them well enough to check.
3) Irrelevant: We might still think these facts are true, or maybe not, but no one cares enough to check.
4) Quaint: These facts were on to something that led somewhere, but reality turns out to be so vastly more complicated that the original ideas seem simpleminded, funny, or even cute.
*By this I technically mean all a posteriori propositional knowledge, though it may turn out to be true in a broader sense. I suppose, however, that the best I can hope for in the long run is that this proposal is true in a “quaint” sense.
March 15, 2014 at 7:48 am
I think on occasion, a truly lucky idea ends up as “Prescient”.
But in general, I really agree.
March 18, 2014 at 6:16 am
I love this. It reminds of me of the Goddard library basement, which has probably the world’s largest collection of academic research on ESP. The collection ends about 1950 or so, when the academy basically concluded that ESP doesn’t exist in any measurable way. So you have these four massive bookshelves of books and journals, all citing each other in a complex scholarly web, and the upshot is just “wrong / forgotten” with maybe a tiny sprinkling of “quaint”…